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Posted

Strictly a curiosity question.

I'm not a gambler and I don't bet.  But...  Something has piqued my curiosity.

This question pertains to "beating the spread" and just how that "works".

A nearby NCAA basketball team has done "much better than average" this season, especially pre-conference play.

So they keep landing in national news much more than often on account of that "success".

But here is my "observation", they keep getting before-game "spreads" in DOUBLE DIGITS.

But RARE are their double-digit WINS.

Which leads to my curiousity...

I can't help but be curious on how "betting" AGAINST them would have benefited anyone that may have bet them to LOSE.

Because unless I'm mistaken, if the "spread" is DOUBLE DIGITS but they only win by SINGLE digits, then they technically LOST and betting for that LOSS is a *WIN*.

So how much would a person have "won" if, purely as an example, say $100 was bet that they would NOT beat the spread in FIVE consecutive games and regardless of them WINNING those FIVE games, they DID NOT BEAT THE SPREAD, so they didn't "win" in that sense.


Posted

its a gamble
you dont know the variables
one varible to jump out would be corruption
in similiar things there are bet´s - while the bet´s are being told/know whatsoever (or told to the managers team)
the "team" was then told just to play defence - so you cant see the differens 
then the suppose to be the better team lost

but that would be 1 condition to leave this

there is also many things coming together, you defined a team based sport 
so a 1 good sportsman in that sport wouldnt win the match
dayly form not included 
injuries
missing people for that match 
sometimes players fit better to a different style then others

doping plays also a rule, for soccer a good drug is cocaine (as it increases brain activity and power to the body) (you therefore have to define what would be good for this sport also, you dont need a bodybuilder - they would be to heavy)

in the soccer example you have 11 people influencing the match
luck is also part of this - if we dont call it luck then we call it momentum - there was such things where good teams have lost to bad teams


so you wont have a clear answer
 

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