I deal with storage vendors as a part of my job- both rotating and memory based. That prediction has been debated for at least 2 years now when we gather in the pubs after a day of meetings. The conclusion- SSDs have their place, but they will not replace HDs anytime soon and certainly not for everybody. I have a large pile of drives (of all kinds) on my lab bench, and while SSDs run quiet, they are not as cool as one would expect. Boots fast, and does not benefit from defragging. Until wear-averaging algorithms get better, I sure don't want to use them for a paging volume.